And We're Back

It’s been a long couple of years away from my project. I wasn’t sure I was ever going to return to it or be able to see it through to completion. It’s been an exhausting couple of years since my last post here. But I’m back. And while I considered withdrawing from the program and cutting my losses, I have been strongly encouraged to see it through to completion by my advisor at Gordon-Conwell Theological Seminary (now at Truett Seminary at Baylor University) and my secondary advisor at London School of Theology who both refused to let me withdraw. They were able to do away with a few seemingly insurmountable hurdles, including a lack of funding and differences with a previous secondary supervisor in order to put me back on track.

So as of February of 2024, I am back in the saddle and aiming to submit my dissertation to my advisor on June 30 of this year. This is the final push — I will either succeed or not, but I will not fail by lack of effort or choosing to withdraw. It is a matter of finishing the second phase of the research (semi-structured interviews with collaborative churches) and having enough data from which to draw meaningful conclusions and upon which to build a new model for collaboration and preaching for the local church.

So I’m back. I figured I should update the blog to reflect this.

Objections to the Study

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I like constructive criticism. Mostly. I mean, I run a Preaching Team here at Community Church that subjects me to critical feedback both before and after a sermon is preached. So I’m used to people interacting with my ideas at a critical level. Being a PhD student also means my ideas and methodologies have to get past my advisor, and in this case, they also have to get past an ethic review committee at LST. Then, once the study goes out into the real world, I get to interact with seminary presidents and professors of preaching who look at the study and interact with it as well.

Most of the schools that have declined participation in the study have done so exclusively on principle: they don’t send unsolicited research invitations to their alumni lists (I suspect for fear of jeopardizing their contacts from a development standpoint, but also considering the privacy considerations in our day). But for the first time in the last few weeks, I had two schools declining to participate based on the research design itself.

I loved their feedback. Both professors took the time to email me and explain their reasons for caution and their unwillingness to pass the project on to their respective schools. I respect that so much. They could have just blown me off. But they didn’t.

They both had similar criticism as well. The main point of criticism had to do with the very first question on the survey: “Does the preaching ministry of your church employ collaboration?”

The heart of the criticism was the lack of a research-based operational definition of collaboration. I did define it, but I chose the most watered-down, generic definition I could find: “Collaboration is defined as intentionally working together with others towards a common goal or objective.” The concern was that, without a more operational definition, people could construe ‘collaboration’ however they felt like it, thus invalidating the study. Respondents could say they collaborate with authors of commentaries; they could say they collaborate with parishioners who are praying for them; they collaborate as their sermons emerge from and address counseling situations they’ve faced during the week. Looking at my study, they indicated a lack of confidence in the study as a whole based on this significant issue.

But I disagree.

(1) A literature review yielded no agreement on how to define collaboration from a ministry perspective. I explored business literature, educational literature, and ministry literature. The best I came across — which I used in an early draft of the survey — was from Sofield & Juliano (2000), Catholic authors who had broken collaboration down into discrete categories on a spectrum (including coexistence, communication, cooperation, collaboration, and I added a final one: communal representation — the last one being more of an open-source project where the preacher is responsible to reflect only the observations and conclusions of the team rather than making decisions personally on how to preach). In the draft of the survey, I had a paragraph explaining the term, the scale of increasing collaborative effort, a description of each position on the scale, and an example or two of what that that position might look like in a church.

(2) When I employed that big definition, the feedback I received was that, from a survey perspective, no one is going to read all the way through all the definitions and examples, process the information, overlay it onto their experience, and respond. I was advised that people would just click away from the survey rather than sit through my "crash course" in collaboration terminology. It was too many words and too abstract for the completion of a quick survey.


(3) Additionally, it was felt that such a survey question would result in railroading respondents into artificially-imposed, pre-determined categories, instead of letting the categories emerge meaningfully from the data.

The decision was made to see if the survey itself might build an understanding of what each respondent means when they say if they collaborate or not. So the two questions that follow (which aspects of preaching are subject to collaboration & who does the collaborating) are so far generating a matrix or map of what the respondents consider to be collaboration.

(4) Those next two questions also have "Other: ______" options so that if a respondent wants to say that the congregation prays regularly for the preacher, they can provide that as a response. Prayer as a level of collaboration, as an example, is what Geoffrey Stevenson (2008) would call a "Community of Sermonic Enterprise" as he tried to overlay Social Learning Theory onto preaching, while trying to satisfy the requirement for "joint enterprise" as proposed by Etienne Wenger and his work on Communities of Practice. But I’m attempting to determine if churches can actually fulfill this "joint enterprise" aspect of Wenger’s theory rather than redefining the idea of a Community of Practice away from Wenger because of the limits on collaboration in preaching practices of the church.

(5) Remember when the NAE and LifeWay Research partnered together to develop an operational research definition of “evangelical”? They did not first define it and then see if people agreed with it; rather, they conducted research exploring the issues that are at the core of evangelicalism, and worked to see an operational definition emerge from the data. They asked 17 questions, based on input from theologians, and 4 emerged as significant and thus the research definition of evangelical was established. I am hoping the same philosophy (not methodology) holds true in the case of my research: given the opportunity first to say if they collaborate, the followup questions will help me determine what each respondent means as they answer that question. If the “other” fields end up overflowing with write-in answers, then I will need to include that data in my analysis. If most people handle the subsequent questions in a straightforward way, as I anticipate will be the case, I believe I can work towards a research definition based on the data I will have collected. The definition will emerge from the study, rather than being imposed on the study at the start.


I would agree that it would be better to have employed an existing research definition of the term, but as one could not be found or established, I chose the LifeWay/NAE route. Going the other route could have been identified as a weakness as well. So it was an intentional decision and one I wrestled with. Fortunately, I’m already seeing data clusters in the responses of churches that, for example, collaborate among paid staff only and only in the series development stage, while another cluster (smaller) reflects collaboration with congregants as preachers invite feedback on sermons after they have been preached. The data are actually building the operational definitions for me, and my hope is to see if the data map onto the Juliano & Sofield categories without me having to bias the data by forcing respondents into those categories up front.

Recording Fail

I was very excited about my recording set up from my first research trip up to the Chicago area. Turns out, it was an epic fail. Having a “room recording” microphone like the one I described in my last post is fine for just capturing reference audio, but the quality of the recording is NOT good enough to be used for automated transcription.

As I was messing around with the tools and software for this stage of the research, I did some quick math. It took me about 2 hours to transcribe about 30 minutes of audio. If I have 50 interviews by the time I’m done, and each interview is 90 minutes, that’s 75 hours of interviews. As each hour of interview takes about four hours to transcribe (even using a USB transcription foot pedal and typing around 85 wpm). So that’s about 300 hours of work just transcribing the interviews. Let’s say I can somehow do this for 3 hours each day before my fingers rebel and my brain fries (and knowing I have other responsibilities, too); that puts me at 100 days of work. I am still a pastor and weekends are dedicated to my family (Saturdays) and the Church (Sundays). So I’m working on this 5 days per week. That puts me JUST transcribing… not doing ANYTHING else on my dissertation… for… 25 weeks. That’s 6 months of transcribing, and that’s if I never miss a day for a funeral or a crisis counseling appointment or to invest in a sermon that’s not quite coming together, or responding to a world-wide pandemic as the coronavirus spreads through community after community.

So should I pay for transcription? Not if the estimates I see online are any indication. The estimates say that professional transcribers can work at double my speed (1 hour of audio = 2 hours to transcribe). The median rate of pay for transcription services is about $16-25 hour. So for 75 hours of audio, or 150 hours of transcription work, I’d be looking at $2,400 to $3,750. And that’s if all the interviews come in at 90 minutes. If I go over, it’s even more. I do not have thousands of dollars to pay a transcriptionist.

Cue the majestic, cinematic swell: Enter Amazon Web Services. I can upload an mp3 file to S3, and use their AI-based transcription service. The cost? For 90 minutes of transcribed audio (drumroll, please): $2.16. That’s it. This means the total cost for 50 interviews, at 90 minutes each (thus 75 hours of interview) is $122.40. Now THAT I can handle. I’ll easily pay a hundred bucks to save me six months of work or a couple of thousand dollars. But does it work?

Here’s the hitch. AWS transcription works phenomenally well… if you have a HIGH QUALITY audio source file. The audio from my Blue multi-capsule USB mic was decidedly low quality. The mic sat too far away from my subject; when the subject’s voice dropped, AWS couldn’t transcribe it. My recording yielded an accuracy of less than 40 %. It takes more time to fix a 40% accuracy transcription than it does to just transcribe it the old fashioned way with my foot pedal.

So I tried an experiment. I “re-recorded” the interview. I played the audio on my iPhone through headphones, so I could just repeat everything I heard back into my MacBook Pro through the Blue mic… but this time, the mic was right in front of my face and I took care to speak with clear diction. I did a 5 minute test file, and uploaded it to my AWS S3 storage. From there, I submitted it to the AWS transcription algorithms. And what came back was something close to 98% accuracy — and where it wasn’t accurate, I could easily tell what the correct words should have been.

So I re-recorded an entire 2 hour interview with the Lead Pastor at this first church I visited in Chicago. Yes, this was a time-heavy investment. But I sped up the audio on my iPhone, so I got the whole interview re-recorded in just over 2 hours. Then I sent it to Amazon, and then I tidied up the transcript that AWS provided. Yes, it still took about 30 minutes to clean up the transcript and to format it. But that’s nowhere near the kind of brain-numbing finger-killing work that transcribing it myself would be.

So the key to everything?

High quality recordings. From the outset. Whatever it takes to get amazingly clear audio recordings of the interviews. It’s worth significant investment in equipment if it will save me thousands of dollars of transcription fees and hundreds of days of work. Stay tuned. I’m off to research some new toys…

Recording Interviews - A Technology Overview

Nothing kills the conversational flow of an interview faster than putting a big, honkin’ microphone in front of people’s faces. Clipping a lapel mic to their sweater is no better. Perhaps just dropping an iPhone on the table is less obtrusive and more “normal” to a interviewee… but what is the sound quality like? And what impact does a visible phone have on the conversation? There’s some interesting research emerging about how even just having a phone in view affects the depth and significance of a conversation. Shelley Turkle, in an interview about her book, Reclaiming Conversation, cites studies that observe “If you put a cell phone into a social interaction, it does two things: First, it decreases the quality of what you talk about, because you talk about things where you wouldn’t mind being interrupted, which makes sense, and, secondly, it decreases the empathic connection that people feel toward each other.” (Link to Interview)

But in my case, it’s no big deal. I’m not talking about anything traumatic with my subjects. I’m not uncovering deep emotional damage from the past. I’m not creating this fragile, easily lost “safe space to be vulnerable.” In my case, we’re talking shop about preaching. So here’s my setup. And it uses a big honkin’ mic.

MAIN SETUP

I use a Blue Yeti USB microphone. It looks like this. It is not unobtrusive. It’s not designed to be. It’s a big, obvious, even distracting mic. But it’s a great mic with four different pickup patterns: cardiod, omnidirectional, stereo, and bidirectional. This means as an interviewer, I can have the mic between us, off to one side using the stereo pickup pattern, and both voices will be in the mic’s sweet spot and all other noise will be muted comparatively.

I connect this mic to my iPad Pro 11” using Apple’s USB-C to USB adapter. There are some YouTube videos out there that say these mics need additional power; the videos say that the iPad can’t drive this mic without some kind of hub and a connection to an AC outlet. But Blue’s own website has verified compatibility, and I have just finished 5 interviews in 2 days with this setup. It works just fine!

 
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BACKUP SETUP

You only get one shot at interviewing someone. There’s no way to call someone back and say, “Hey, my tech failed. Can we get together again and can we redo the interview?” Always have an independent backup recorder running. In my case, I dropped my iPhone down beside my BHM (big honkin’ mic) using the Voice Recorder Pro app. Rock solid build, has never crashed on me, and provides a solid backup recording in case the iPad glitches out.

BUT WAIT — WHAT ABOUT THE iPAD APP?

That’s a post for another day. Because I’m not using what one might consider a typical audio recording app on my iPad. I’ve connected this big mic to my iPad for a very specific reason — I want to link any jotting I do during the interview to the specific audio happening at that time. There’s a great app for that…

Ready, Set, Go (again)!

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So I have received mostly official positive responses from our Canadian seminary friends! Regent College (Vancouver, BC) has agreed to promote the study on their alumni website. I will be interested to see if this garners any traffic, but I’m grateful that they’re willing to participate. Ambrose Seminary has agreed to the study, so now we’re working on the mechanics of reaching their alumni in an effective way. And Tyndale has now agreed to join the study as well! I’m so grateful for the trust and partnership of these schools. I think I’ve lost a few connections along the way, and I’m sad about that. But I’m excited to move forward with the schools that have agreed to participate.

So MailChimp once again becomes my best friend. The Google Forms are ready to receive responses. The backend databases are prepped to capture the data. And SPSS is hungry for more rows as we approach statistical significance! Let’s go, Canada!

Means, Medians and Inferential Data Analysis, Oh My!

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Something amazing just happened. I spent a couple of hours with Dr. Bryan Auday (neuroscience researcher and professor of psychology at Gordon College in Wenham, Ma) this week. He introduced me to a software package called SPSS. And I’m in love. With the software. And maybe with Dr. Auday.

As my data set approaches “completion” I began to experiment with it to see what kinds of data analysis could be performed on it. And I ran into some issues right away.

My old friend, Microsoft Excel, isn’t too shabby. With a few google searches and a lot of carefully crafted formulas involving SUMPRODUCTs and COUNTIFS and dollar signs and cell ranges and operations with strings, I was able to figure out not only how to get a descriptive analysis going, but I began to be able to compare some aspects of the data to other aspects of the data. For example, not only do I know how many churches collaborate vs. how many don’t collaborate, but I can also now see OF THOSE THAT DO collaborate, how many of them are led by lead pastors who are Boomers vs. those that are led by Millennials. Or I can look for correlation between denomination and collaboration. Or zip code. Or I can try to narrow down just what each respondent means when they say they collaborate (on a series, on a sermon, evaluation?) There’s some real power for making inferences from the data here.

BUT this process is super-clunky, and a misplaced comma or dollar sign, or a copied-and-pasted formula that “automagically” increases the cell column or row by one (trying to be so helpful, Microsoft) can foul up my best and most vigilant attempts to get accurate analysis. Too much room for human error.

ALSO this process doesn’t play nicely if I am going to add more data to the project as the months go on. I would have to go back to every single formula and update the cell ranges to reflect the new data being added.

LASTLY, it just takes a loooooong time to write the formulas and keep the results straight. There has to be a better way. And there is.

Enter a software package like SPSS, which is enterprise-level statistical analysis software available to large institutions like corporations… and maybe a few local area Christian colleges… It runs for over $2000 per seat. All I’m saying is that Dr. Auday may just be the man behind the curtain, pulling all the levers and switches, turning my data set into the great and powerful Oz. He showed me today how these tools work, and their beautiful point-and-click workflows to look for correlations within a dataset. This has changed my whole world.

Wait! I just went online and found a “gradpack” — a full version of the sofware, licensed for two full years if you’re a student, for $175. I know there will be a learning curve here. But that’s cheaper than Spotify! This is gonna be fun…

O Canada! (update)

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I have now been in direct contact with people at McMaster Divinity School, Ambrose Seminary, and Regent College that have actually expressed interest in participating in this study! It looks like my timing isn’t ideal, as many of them are either on vacation or sabbatical across these summer months, but I have been encouraged none-the-less by the willingness to even have a conversation about what participation might look like. The only school on my list I haven’t heard back from yet is Tyndale Seminary… I was enrolled at Tyndale and ready to start my seminary journey back in the day before receiving a job offer to teach high school science in Ottawa. I chose instead to teach for a few years to pay off some student loans (and to get married!), and ended up a few years later at Gordon-Conwell Theological Seminary. But I’ve always felt a connection to Tyndale. I reached out to a few more people from there today, so we’ll see if anything comes of those attempts.

But if everything goes forward according to the master plan (which, of course, it ALWAYS does, right?) I will indeed have some Canadian representation in the data!

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Whoa, We're Half Way There

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Just as Bon Jovi was Livin’ on a Prayer back in 1986, I continue to be praying in the survey responses. And as of this day, the 8th of July, 2019, we have received enough survey responses to be “half way there” to statistical significance. Comparing and averaging two different measures for determining statistical significance (at a 95% confidence level and with a P value of 0.05), my goal is to collect 384 responses (assuming a target population of 500,000 seminary alumni from the United States and Canada). As of this day, I have:

 
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Those responses have come from Gordon-Conwell, Northern, Truett, and the Evangelical Homiletics Society. I am in ongoing conversations still with The Master’s Seminary, Western, Ambrose, Regent, and McMaster seminaries.

Way to Go, Truett Alumni!

 
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So I tend to choose terrible times to send my survey invitation emails. I sent out the invitation to Northern Seminary alumni right before Thanksgiving weekend. And, having learned nothing from that experience, I sent out the survey invitation to Truett alumni on the July 4 weekend. I’m amazing.

And yet…

Truett alumni are crushing it. It hasn’t even been 24 hours, and 81 people have clicked through to the survey, and 37 people have already completed the entire survey through to its end! It’s kind of fun for me to log in and check on how many respondents I’ve got… kind of like a telethon or something, watching the big number on the screen go up and up.

Not even 24 hours since the survey invitation was sent, creeping up on 40 respondents.  Keep going!

Not even 24 hours since the survey invitation was sent, creeping up on 40 respondents. Keep going!

So just a quick word of thanks to all those who have taken the time this weekend, with all the festivities and everything else going on, to support research on preaching. I honestly appreciate your time and your willingness to be a part of this study. Thanks so much!

O Canada!

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So I’ve spent this week remembering that I’m Canadian. My interruption of studies from LST officially ended on July 1, 2019, which is the date commemorating the signing of the British North America Act, making Canada an independent dominion and establishing it as a country of its own. And here I am, a Canadian studying at a British theological school. The partnership continues!

So I spent the day reaching out to some Canadian seminaries in the hopes of broadening my data set beyond just American schools. Some of them emailed back right away… as in, the President of the school emailed me back within 10 minutes. I was humbled and impressed!

Regardless, I am hopeful that this research project will gain some traction up in the True North Strong And Free. So as I’m writing this post on July 4th, Independence Day here in the United States, I am grateful for a country that has welcomed me and allowed me to invest here as a pastor and a resident. And I am also grateful for my Canadian roots, especially as I spent the day trying to invite Canadian representation into my dataset!

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So It's Been A While...

If any of you have been following my research (which I don’t think even my own mother is doing!) you may have noticed a dramatic decline in updates on this website. There is a reason. My family and church were awarded the National Clergy Renewal Grant from the Lilly Endowment. We were given a fully-funded four-month sabbatical from life and ministry at Community Church in order to “remember the story” of God’s love for us personally, as a married couple, as a family, and as part of God’s great love story for the world.

From January through April, I’ve spent time alone in an off-grid cabin in Maine; my family has spent a month in a beach house near Jaco, Costa Rica; Joanna and I spent a few days in Paris before embarking on an 7-day cruise in the Mediterranean, and we took our entire family to Kampala, Uganda for two weeks for a missions trip to Watoto Church and Watoto Childcare Ministries.

I have only returned from this time away very recently. And only now am I re-engaging in my research project, hoping that I can recover any of the momentum lost with the various schools I’ve been interacting with over the last year.

Here are some photos from the last four months.

It really was an incredible blessing.

But I’m back.

EHS Here We Come

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This year’s EHS annual conference is almost here. I’m at Logan Airport, getting on a plane to New Orleans for this year’s gathering! Looking forward to seeing familiar faces again, and meeting some new people who are passionate about preaching and scholarship.

This year, as Phase 1 of my research is drawing to a close, Dr. Gibson and I realized that members of EHS are a perfect population to include in this research project! Drawing from many, many denominations yet sharing a commitment to the Gospel and the Word of God, it would be amazing to get this group to be participants in the study by having them fill out the survey.

To that end, I sponsored the conference. Yes. Branding my sponsorship under the “PreachingTeams.com” banner, I will have a table in the sponsors area, with tall banners and an embroidered PreachingTeams.com polo shirt with matching id lanyard, handing out invitations to everyone I can! So stop by and introduce yourself, and grab an invitation. Fill out the survey at some point over the three days of the conference!

You can go right to the EHS Survey page by clicking here:

Northern Officially Joins the Study

 
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The fall is a busy time of year to approach schools about joining a research study. But as of this week, Northern has officially joined this project! Special thanks goes out to Dr. Bill Schiell, president of Northern Seminary, for his support and willingness to create a preaching-specific list of alumni to receive the survey invitation! I’d also like to thank Dr. Jason Gile, Dean of Program Development and Innovation, for dialoguing with me about the best way to conduct this survey, and also David J. Hailey, the Director of Development, for working with me to build the email invitation to the survey. I am so appreciative of your partnership and your support in this project!

The Northern Seminary survey invitations should go out by Mid-October. Look for that link to go “live” on the “Take the Survey” section of the website in the coming weeks.

Gordon-Conwell Alumni Are Amazing.

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So we're one week into collecting data.  The first population I've reached out to is the Gordon-Conwell Alumni community.  You are all amazing.  According to Mailchimp, the average "Open" rate for emails sent to religion-based mailing lists is 30.9%.  Gordon-Conwell alumni just blew that away at 55.3% just opening the email to see what it's about.  But beyond just opening an email, getting someone to actually click on a link in that email is even harder.  The industry average, again in the category for religion, is a mere 3.2%.  Gordon-Conwell alumni have clicked through (either to the PreachingTeams.com website or to the survey itself) at a rate of 17.6 percent... after just one week.  That's more than 5.5x the industry average!

What can we take away from these numbers?  Nothing, really, with any level of certainty or credibility.  But if I were to speculate?  I'd say that Gordon-Conwell alumni love the church, care deeply about the preaching of God's Word, and are interested in research that furthers our understanding of preaching and improves our practice of preaching.

As of today, a full 10% of people who received my invitation have clicked through AND filled out the survey and submitted it.  I am so thankful for the responses I have received so far!  Thank you for taking the time to participate in this research.  You've encouraged this researcher and fired me up to keep this project moving forward!

 

Tim.

 

It's Alive!

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As of Wednesday, July 11, 2018, this research project is live!  The first survey has been sent to over 650 Gordon-Conwell alumni, and within the first hour we are up to 20 responses!  If you're one of those first 20 people, thank you!  Thanks for caring enough about preaching and the local church to weigh in on this topic!  

A second request will go out in two weeks, followed by a final request in August before I shut down phase 1 of the research project.  But I'm already excited to see how many people have been collaborating in some form or another in the preaching ministries of their various churches.

Thanks again for the encouraging initial response!